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Predicting the cumulative number of cases for the COVID-19 epidemic in China from early data #MMPMID32987515
Liu ZH; Magal P; Seydi O; Webb G
Math Biosci Eng 2020[Apr]; 17 (4): 3040-3051 PMID32987515show ga
We model the COVID-19 coronavirus epidemic in China. We use early reported case data to predict the cumulative number of reported cases to a final size. The key features of our model are the timing of implementation of major public policies restricting social movement, the identification and isolation of unreported cases, and the impact of asymptomatic infectious cases.